← TwiceShy proof pageAll belief versionsSource

Replay of round 19

One round of the memory arm, step by step: what it read from Walrus Memory, what it decided to buy and why, the payment on Sui, how the answer was graded, and the belief version it wrote back.

Memory arm: 4 paid answers for 0.040 USDC, 2 refusals, 0 wrong answers accepted. The blind arm did not run in this round.

  1. 1Read memory

    Before buying anything, the agent recalls its beliefs from Walrus Memory. These are the newest version of each belief written before round 19, which is what a recall returns. The run did not log its recalls; the trace flag that prints them was added for the 2026-11-03 rerun, where the recalled versions matched the newest ones written.

    SellerForVersionTrustLast resultCooldown untilBlob
    Control seller (ours)market pricesv110.63checked, right–dEZ4TG6t…9c0c
    Sui Address Inspectoraddress factsv160.77bought on trust, not checked–-Qq42tjj…uTVA
    PipTradeDexmarket pricesv140.85bought on trust, not checked–JjuU2oOu…0dzM
    Control seller (ours)address factsv70.59checked, right–SHTRD7gw…48us
    AgentProofendpoint checksv30.21failed, nothing delivered–Nu3kUpVC…BnW8
    Omnia endpoint verifyendpoint checksv30.21dead route–F_dcq_Fb…d6IA
    PipTradeDexswap quotesv60.50bought on trust, not checked–0EJ3DoUF…VkQo
    Control seller (ours)swap quotesv30.50bought on trust, not checked–uvJNkfia…vyUg

    Next: Decide ↓

  2. 2Decide

    The trust policy is plain code over those beliefs: below the 0.6 floor a seller gets only canaries; in a cooldown it gets nothing; above the floor, the cheapest good seller wins, with spot checks that thin out as trust grows. If a checked answer fails, it tries the next seller once in the same round. Swap quotes it cannot check itself, so it buys them only from a seller its market-price belief trusts.

    address facts

    Sui Address Inspector independent, as a purchase with a spot check. Reason it gave: “cheapest good answer at trust 0.77”.

    Control seller (ours) control (ours), as a canary (a question it can check, to earn trust). Reason it gave: “canary: earning a place”.

    Refused to buy. Reason it gave: “no seller is trusted and none is due a canary”.

    market prices

    Control seller (ours) control (ours), as a purchase with a spot check. Reason it gave: “cheapest good answer at trust 0.63”.

    endpoint checks

    AgentProof independent, as a canary (a question it can check, to earn trust). Reason it gave: “canary: nobody is trusted yet”.

    Omnia endpoint verify independent, as a canary (a question it can check, to earn trust). Reason it gave: “canary: earning a place”.

    Refused to buy. Reason it gave: “no seller is trusted and none is due a canary”.

    swap quotes

    Control seller (ours) control (ours), as a purchase on trust. Reason it gave: “cheapest good answer at trust 0.66”.

    Next: Pay ↓

  3. 3Pay

    Each purchase is an x402 payment in USDC on Sui mainnet. Gas price is 0: these are gasless transfers.

    Sui Address Inspector independent · address facts
    Paid
    0.010 USDC
    Sui transaction
    C4PyamQpWciUKLJe1XB2aAQtdyTgvC6cjSmUxkouRgK2
    Answer in
    0.9 s
    At
    16:51:44 UTC
    Control seller (ours) control (ours) · address facts
    Paid
    0.010 USDC
    Sui transaction
    6EdpjiQoWX9jfszgWJZyHTYU7GpQoG7v81fn4ScVJWyd
    Answer in
    0.8 s
    At
    16:52:00 UTC
    Control seller (ours) control (ours) · market prices
    Paid
    0.010 USDC
    Sui transaction
    GkTa95NW6ScwisCBCk6zKiMNV1Bz6YWCRjuU5isA1Q1U
    Answer in
    0.9 s
    At
    16:52:04 UTC
    AgentProof independent · endpoint checks
    Paid
    0.000 USDC (nothing settled)
    Answer in
    0.4 s
    At
    16:52:20 UTC
    Omnia endpoint verify independent · endpoint checks
    Paid
    0.000 USDC (nothing settled)
    At
    16:52:21 UTC
    Control seller (ours) control (ours) · swap quotes
    Paid
    0.010 USDC
    Sui transaction
    Dhe6UsxtXawi5K6pNDAsvEbaTWZiW3pMzkrCEui7Re5J
    Answer in
    0.8 s
    At
    16:52:25 UTC

    Next: Grade ↓

  4. 4Grade

    Its own check compares the answer with chain truth read through Tatum: balances for address facts, the deepest native USDC/SUI pool for market prices. Answers bought on trust are not checked by the agent. The audit is the experiment's scoring, which checks every answer; the agent never sees it.

    Sui Address Inspector · address facts
    Its own check
    checked, wrong (balances differ from the chain)
    The audit
    wrong (balances differ from the chain)

    Marked wrong because of a grader flaw found in this round: the seller listed only the first 50 coins of a very large wallet, as both sellers do. The grader was fixed afterwards; no later round ran to correct this verdict. Details.

    Control seller (ours) · address facts
    Its own check
    checked, wrong (balances differ from the chain)
    The audit
    wrong (balances differ from the chain)

    Marked wrong because of a grader flaw found in this round: the seller listed only the first 50 coins of a very large wallet, as both sellers do. The grader was fixed afterwards; no later round ran to correct this verdict. Details.

    Control seller (ours) · market prices
    Its own check
    checked, right (price within 0.09% of the reference)
    The audit
    right (price within 0.09% of the reference)
    AgentProof · endpoint checks
    Its own check
    failed, nothing delivered (signed payment offered, seller returned HTTP 500, nothing settled)
    The audit
    no answer to audit
    Omnia endpoint verify · endpoint checks
    Its own check
    dead route (HTTP 404 before any payment)
    The audit
    no answer to audit
    Control seller (ours) · swap quotes
    Its own check
    bought on trust, not checked
    The audit
    right (implied price within 0.09%)

    Next: Remember ↓

  5. 5Remember

    Each purchase becomes a verdict and a new version of that seller's belief, both written to Walrus Memory. The next round starts by reading these.

    Sui Address Inspector · address facts
    Verdict memory
    nT-8U9pl…o0ck in twiceshy-verdicts
    Belief written
    v17: trust 0.77 → 0.62. wrong: balances differ from the chain; retest after 20 min
    Walrus blob
    e1Weqt6ZsX6dHfNQ77FP3nu5ymX41RHH10i0KN0bFgw in twiceshy-belief-inspector-address-facts
    Control seller (ours) · address facts
    Verdict memory
    pFNdnBM0…5ujw in twiceshy-verdicts
    Belief written
    v8: trust 0.59 → 0.47. wrong: balances differ from the chain; retest after 20 min
    Walrus blob
    iP4LIH86L0AqA5-k62q_NLnqPbA7Uq33TOIANzglZPU in twiceshy-belief-control-address-facts
    Control seller (ours) · market prices
    Verdict memory
    x0XESRvr…WjLA in twiceshy-verdicts
    Belief written
    v12: trust 0.63 → 0.66. passed: price within 0.09% of the reference
    Walrus blob
    My8QRElNFVKNN_3gC0MRcC4Nn8W6B5K7uFvUQpbSNu0 in twiceshy-belief-control-market-price
    AgentProof · endpoint checks
    Verdict memory
    bVIIvPbK…cXnQ in twiceshy-verdicts
    Belief written
    v4: trust 0.21 → 0.18. failed: signed payment offered, seller returned HTTP 500, nothing settled; retest after 160 min
    Walrus blob
    MwTNw-nyUVaA78S6PMW9IwjBcKf50pgzHVUN_ieZGFY in twiceshy-belief-agentproof-endpoint-check
    Omnia endpoint verify · endpoint checks
    Verdict memory
    OybjG5O_…FuOY in twiceshy-verdicts
    Belief written
    v4: trust 0.21 → 0.18. dead: HTTP 404 before any payment; retest after 160 min
    Walrus blob
    3CGcpQLred8fqBNKgIFeicDVD4CaQvJbGf2DkylNbqk in twiceshy-belief-omnia-endpoint-check
    Control seller (ours) · swap quotes
    Verdict memory
    q4hTsxWJ…HM7k in twiceshy-verdicts
    Belief written
    v4: trust 0.50 → 0.50. bought unchecked on a trust of 0.50
    Walrus blob
    x6OlWFKKqitg5G12VUhwZU_kV2zm30C0RcP0PZCvaos in twiceshy-belief-control-swap-quote

The blind arm in the same round

The blind arm did not run in round 19: the live round after the experiment ran the memory arm only.

Other rounds

← Round 18 · Round 7 is the first round after our control seller's fault was caught.